When the teams analyse the data tonight, they will decide between a two or a three stop race, as in many cases the simulation data suggests almost identical race times between the two approaches. As ever, the first stint on full fuel will be key to this. Qualifying in Barcelona went very much the way that people expected, even though the teams did not test here this year and two red flags interrupted the session, which clearly affected qualifying strategies as well. Track conditions between free practice this morning and qualifying were very different, which obviously had an effect on the grip levels, but these are the conditions we can expect for the race tomorrow as well. Historically, the driver starting from pole here has the race win very much stacked in his favour. However, Fernando Alonso’s famous win here last year from fifth on the grid shows just what is possible with a good race strategy. The tyres are the same for everybody and Formula One is a meritocracy: so it will simply be down to which teams and drivers are able to get the most out of them.